A Bayesian Method for Sequential Sampling and Forecasting in Agricultural Pest Management

A Bayesian Method for Sequential Sampling and Forecasting in Agricultural Pest Management*

We present a method for sequential estimation of the state of infestation of an agricultural crop by a pest arthropod. The method, which is based on Bayesian statistical theory, establishes stopping curves by requiring that a confidence interval be placed entirely on one side or the other of an economic threshold. The results of a given sequential sample are used to modify the prior of the subs...

passivity in waiting for godot and endgame: a psychoanalytic reading

this study intends to investigate samuel beckett’s waiting for godot and endgame under the lacanian psychoanalysis. it begins by explaining the most important concepts of lacanian psychoanalysis. the beckettian characters are studied regarding their state of unconscious, and not the state of consciousness as is common in most beckett studies. according to lacan, language plays the sole role in ...

Agricultural Economic Dynamics in a Bayesian DSGE Model for Iran

I ran’s economy is suffering from sharp and persistent economic shocks and agriculture plays an undeniable role in its economic growth and development. The aim of this paper is to study the relative contributions of various macroeconomic shocks to generating fluctuations in Iran’s agriculture sector. To do so, a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model, emphasizing on the ...

Sequential Sampling Method

Unintended consequences of 21st century technology for agricultural pest management.

C ourtier-Orgogozo et al [1] argue that public debate and better governance are needed to properly control the use of gene editing for controlling pests in agriculture. They are correct in their assessment that this “could lead to multiple and uncoordinated releases of gene drives into the wild, which is likely to cause unpredictable ecological disturbances with farreaching consequences”. Howev...